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DTN Midday Grain Comments     01/22 10:59

   Corn, Beans Higher at Midday

   The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 15. The dollar index is 5 
points higher. Interest rate products are mixed. Energies are $1.50 lower. 
Livestock trade is mixed. Precious metals are mixed with gold $0.90 lower.

By David Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst

 General Comments




   Corn trade is 1 to 2 cents higher at midday with trade back to the top end 
of the range after the soft start to the week with rangebound trade continuing. 
Ethanol margins have remained stable but poor with ethanol futures struggling 
again this morning. U.S. weather will likely limit short-term movement in most 
areas with warmer weather expected to be on the way into the end of the month. 
Basis should remain sideways to slightly firmer. The export wire remains quiet. 
On the March contract support is the 20-day at $3.86, with resistance the 
recent high at $3.92.


   Soybeans trade is 2 to 3 cents higher at midday with trade trying to push 
back from the low end of the range with support from wheat and corn, while 
trade continues to look for new export business. Meal is narrowly mixed, and 
oil is 40 to 50 points higher. The Brazilian real remains very cheap as well 
hurting US export competitiveness. South American weather remains within the 
recent pattern for soybeans as well with early harvest underway. Basis has 
remained firm at processors with the strong crush margins. The March chart 
support is at the December gap at $9.15 with resistance the 20-day at $9.40.


   Wheat trade is 5 cents lower to 1 cent higher with Chicago scoring news 
highs overnight before reversing at midday. Cold threats remain limited for the 
plains with most of the moisture staying to the east, with western snow cover 
remaining limited, and warmer temps expected to return to most short term. 
Kansas City is at an 86 cent discount to Chicago, while Minneapolis is back to 
a 18 cent discount. Weekly export inspections were rangebound at 435,129 metric 
tons. The March Kansas City chart support is the 20-day moving average at 
$4.83, with resistance the upper Bollinger Band at 5.07.


   David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne 
and a registered adviser. 
He can be reached at 
Follow him on Twitter @davidfiala


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